Sleepless Doctor
Chapter 1215
A few hours later.
During the expert group video conference, Wu Mian was silent and just listened to everyone''s opinions leisurely.
The experts present here are all top scholars in China. They have accumulated extremely strong self-confidence and even conceit through one victory after another in their own fields.
On March 3, the first shelter hospital was closed, which was good news, but the experts of the expert group in the video conference were red in the face.
They have different opinions on the future development direction. Everyone thinks they are right and no one can convince anyone.
No one can predict the future, at least at the current level of technology.
The domestic situation has been stable. The next question before you is what to do in the future.
For future conjectures, everyone has his own opinions and suggestions.
Wu Mian was silent. He sat in front of the tablet like a javelin. He was like a stone statue. He didn''t say a word. He silently listened to the noisy old experts in the video.
Most people are pessimistic about the future. This is a consensus.
Not pessimistic about the domestic situation, but pessimistic about the spread of the epidemic abroad.
Whether and how China can be alone, the existing scientific evidence and the experience of the Spanish pandemic in 1918 all show a slightly darker future.
Chuzhixi chuckles while the teachers in the video quarrel like children.
Three hours later, there was still no conclusion.
"Wu Mian, tell me your opinion." the headmaster said when everyone was tired of quarreling, "don''t say a word. Tell me your opinion."
Wu Mian subconsciously stretched out his arms, but he didn''t touch the rabbit''s ears. Slightly stunned, he found that he was used to the rhythm in the shelter.
"Then I''ll tell you my point of view."
"First, the domestic epidemic has been controlled, and a complete victory is not far away. This is a unified consensus, nothing..."
"Say dry goods, don''t say what everyone knows." the headmaster scolded in a deep voice.
Wu Mian smiled. It seems that he can''t hide today.
"Let me say some of my recent ideas. They are not mature. Please refer to them."
"First, give up your illusions and prepare for battle. The epidemic abroad must be getting worse and worse, and there is no chance of luck. I don''t say whether the genesis level virus comes from Debao. But I think the epidemic is like a flood, and there is no chance for western countries to control it.
While their domestic contradictions are becoming increasingly acute, I think it is very likely that they will take extreme measures. We should prevent dogs from jumping over the wall. Of course, this is not a medical suggestion. I just say that it is impossible for western countries to control the spread of the epidemic. "
"Second, I suggest launching a patriotic health campaign."
"Hmm?" the headmaster looked at Wu Mian in the video, "why?"
"Foreign countries are still in the very early stage of the spread of mutated viruses, and they certainly can''t control it. I once established a mathematical model to calculate the time required for the evolution of viruses transmitted between humans to co infection between humans and animals. Considering strictly, I estimate that the virus can evolve to the extent of attaching itself to mice, cockroaches, fleas and birds in about 18-24 months 。”
“……”
"Fortunately, the epidemic situation in our country can be controlled at present. Although sporadic outbreaks are difficult to avoid, the team will not be caught unprepared after training.
ADE can hardly be avoided if I can say that mice and insects can carry simultaneous interpreting of human and animal viruses.
All we can do is destroy all the mice in advance. "
"To put it simply, I think we should prepare for war and famine again, reserve more food, expand the Arsenal and carry out patriotic health campaigns."
"I don''t think we pay enough attention to the prediction of the new pneumonia virus. With the existing technology, we can''t... Maybe there are symptomatic drugs in Fort De, but we can''t get them."
"Wu Mian, what do you mean by symptomatic drugs?"
"I don''t know. I don''t have access to military secrets," Wu Mian said regretfully. "But I guess there must be, and it must be very expensive. I can''t treat all patients."
"Wu Mian, what is the probability of animals spreading?" another expert asked.
"At present, there is no sign of animal and insect transmission, but it is just an expectation. I think it has something to do with aerosols when Xiangjiang finds that pets have a weak positive reaction. However, after 18-24 months of fermentation and breeding insects, it is not necessarily.
Large countries with large populations, such as the United States, Brazil and India, do not know what strange viruses will grow. This is in line with our previous discussion, with a population of more than one billion and a transmission period of 6-12 months. "
"Just mentioned the research of Shancheng. Although there is no final conclusion, we can guess that the half-life of the antibody is very short, about 100 days." Wu Mian said seriously, "that is to say, secondary, tertiary and even more infections are possible. Different variant strains can also coexist in the body of the same patient, and the direction of variation is uncertain."
"In a word, I think this is a perfect virus at the level of creation, which will not disappear due to the increase of temperature. The s virus can''t be compared with the new pneumonia virus."
"To increase strategic reserves and raise the awareness of the whole people, the important thing is food and public health security. It is best not to fight, but the premise is that we are strong enough to avoid being coveted by villains."
Wu Mian''s judgment is the most pessimistic. Even when the epidemic situation in Tianhe City has not been completely solved, he has begun to think about preparing for war and famine.
Everyone has reached a consensus on food security, but it seems too early to start another patriotic health campaign.
If there is virus transmission between humans and animals, it seems that there is still time to carry out it again.
"I think of the bottom line, maybe not as pessimistic as I described. To be optimistic, I just took a look Ebuy, and now the N95 masks produced by 3M in the United States are already $15 a piece.
We should seize the time to control the epidemic situation. This year, we can make a lot of money just by exporting masks. However, the independent research and development of respirators should be put on the agenda, and medical safety should be guaranteed first. "
$15
None of the experts and scholars here care about such "small things".
But an N95 mask sold for $15, equivalent to nearly 100 yuan, which is crazy!
"The detection of the new pneumonia virus is 3500 dollars, and the kit can also be produced in large quantities." Wu Mian smiled. "What hasn''t come yet should be done step by step to restore the economy, expand production and prepare for war and famine. That''s my suggestion."